Holger Schmieding

Holger Schmieding is chief economist at Berenberg Bank in London. [United Kingdom] Follow him @Berenberg_Econ

Boris or Jeremy: Expect No Present from the EU

Boris Johnson would face a specific handicap in his talks with Brussels. The desire to grant him any concession is virtually zero.

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Germany’s Greens: Long Wave or Short Hype?

Buoyed by its recent election success, could Germany’s Green Party claim the chancellorship when Merkel leaves office?

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No Deal Exit? UK Should Think Twice

Even in case of a hard Brexit, the UK would probably end up having to accept most of the Withdrawal Agreement.

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Brexit: Could Boris Do What Theresa Could Not?

While he did not endear himself to his continental colleagues during his stint as foreign minister, Boris Johnson’s flexibility could turn into an advantage.

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After Theresa: The Brexit Mess and the EU

Many on the continent may now see an orderly “velvet” Brexit as the least bad among the realistic outcomes.

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EU: 8 Results to Watch

EU citizens head to the polls to elect a new parliament in the most important EU election in recent times. Here’s what to look out for.

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Three Reasons for Hope for US-EU Trade

Despite Trump’s apparent obsession with German cars and the German trade surplus, political support in the U.S. for a trade war against the EU is much weaker than for getting tough on China.

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US-EU Trade Talks: Two Giants at Loggerheads

Look for significant noise, but not for a genuine trade war across the Atlantic.

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Brexit Mess: The EU Angle

A short eight-week delay to adjust the joint statement on post-Brexit relations accordingly would be fine for the EU27.

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A Contrarian Call on France

Macron suffered the fate of his predecessors — shortly after taking office, popularity slumps. But the worst may be over now.

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